By STEVE BAILEY
Published: April 9, 2009
It helps
that the Schappelles “have relatively stable jobs,” she said. She is an
environmental protection specialist in Washington, and her husband works in
marketing and communications for Johns Hopkins University.
She said
the house that they bought had been on the market for a long time and that the
seller had dropped the price to $485,000 from $525,000 before they saw it. Ms.
Schappelle said that she and her husband got the seller to go even lower, to
$435,000.
The house,
which is just under 1,000 square feet and has three bedrooms and one and a half
bathrooms, is “something of a fixer-upper,” she said, but it comes with the
promise of idyllic summers for their two daughters, ages 1 and 4. It is four
blocks from the beach and within easy walking distance of restaurants and
shopping.
The Jersey
Shore experience that lies ahead for the Schappelles has long made the area a
favorite summer destination for millions, but the shore’s many attractions have
not given it immunity from the real estate slump that is affecting most of the
nation. This year, some Jersey Shore brokers are saying the market is dead, but
others are optimistic that 2009 will be better than 2008, primarily because
dropping prices may attract buyers like the Schappelles.
People who
are looking to rent their bit of the Jersey Shore typically wait close to the
season’s start. This season they are finding more properties to choose from and
some owners who are willing to negotiate, though oceanfront and other
especially desirable properties are holding their prices. Kim Evans, an agent
with Van Sciver Realtors, an Ocean County firm with offices from Point Pleasant
Beach south to Normandy Beach, said she had seen a trend toward shorter stays,
“more two-weeks and weeks, not so many all-summer.”
Indeed,
2009 may be a good season for the rental market. Dee Lanzalotti, owner of
Jersey Cape Realty in Cape May, said that “in today’s economy” 85 percent of
the properties that pass through her agency will be rented out at least part of
the season and that owners can look forward to strong bookings. “We have one
beachfront house in the East End of Cape May that’s fully booked this summer at
$12,000 a week,” she said. In 2007, it went for $10,500 a week.
Van Sciver,
which handles more than 400 rental properties, said that about a third of its
available weeks were booked by the end of March. “We’re busier rental-wise now
than we were last year,” Ms. Evans said, but if a lot of properties are not
rented by the end of April, “it could become a renter’s market.”
People who
want to buy are finding that “it’s a buyer’s market for sure,” Ms. Lanzalotti
said, but how long it will last is uncertain. “I’m telling people not to wait
much longer,” she said. “If you’ve had your eye on something for a while and
want to make a lowball offer, do it now.” She said that buyers from northern New Jersey, Pennsylvania, New
York, Washington and Baltimore are again looking for vacation and investment
properties, many drawn by prices that are about 20 percent lower than they were
in 2006. “We’re seeing an increase in buyer activity since the first of the
year,” she said.
Allan
Dechert, a broker with Ferguson Dechert Real Estate in Avalon, N.J., and the
immediate past chairman of the National
Association of Realtors committee on resorts and second homes, is also
upbeat. “So far this year,” he said, “we’re seeing more people coming through
and more properties under contract.” He said that “on the islands, 95 or 98
percent of sales are to second-home owners or to investors who plan to rent out
the property.” Avalon is on Seven Mile Island, about 20 miles north of Cape
May. He added that in his office the average sale price last year was $1.2
million, and that about a quarter of sales are for cash.
Sales handled by his office in
2008 were down 50 percent from 2005: 225 sales in 2005, and 110 in 2008.
Despite an increase in activity since the first of the year, he said, many
sales are hindered by tougher mortgage guidelines. “Lenders are asking more
questions,” he said, “and they want to see assets verified.” Mr. Dechert said that prices for houses not
on the beach were down about 20 percent from the peak, which he said was 2005
and early 2006. “For beachfront and other prime locations, the drops are less
severe,” he added, with those values down 10 to 15 percent. Three of his
current listings are “underwater,” he said, with the would-be sellers’ mortgage
debts exceeding their properties’ market values. “These are people who haven’t
owned their properties very long — not over two years,” he said. “People who
bought longer ago are still in pretty good shape.”
Joe Mancini, owner of Mancini
Realty on Long Beach Island, however, does not see the slump ending, and said
that 2009 did not get off to a good start. “We always have a January-February
upsurge, but this year it’s been very small,” he said. “Our sales are usually
driven by bonuses on Wall Street, and this year they haven’t amounted to much.”
(Long Beach Island is a two-hour drive south of New York City.)
Although
sales are slow — 2008 sales amounted to about 60 percent of the number of sales
in 2006, Mr. Mancini said — the Long Beach Island market is relatively calm. “I
have seen no foreclosures here,” he said, “and no distress sales.” He said that
many vacation-home owners there paid cash for their homes, so they have no
mortgages and are under no pressure to sell. As a result, he said, values for
oceanfront properties have not dropped, though properties without water views
are down about 15 percent from 2007.
One example
of what’s happening on Long Beach Island is a three-story house on 33rd Street
in Brant Beach that went under contract the last weekend in March. It was
completed in 2008 by Joe Mancini’s other company, Mancini Custom Homes. Only
two other houses are between it and the beach, it’s near a marina, and it has
bay and ocean views from the top floor, which has the kitchen and living areas.
Its amenities include two master suites, an elevator, five decks and a granite
and stainless-steel kitchen. The house, which brought in $70,000 in rental
income in 2008, was professionally decorated and was offered fully furnished,
including dishes, pots, pans, towels and bed linens. It was originally listed
at $1,799,000 and had been reduced 5.5 percent to $1,699,000.
Closer to
New York, in Long Branch, a renovated three-bedroom, two-bath colonial, seven
blocks from the beach, has been put on the market at $269,900. The seller, Ken
Lehman, who bought the house in October 2008 and never moved into it, is
preparing for an unexpected opportunity to live in France. The house has a
white picket fence with an arched trellis over the entrance, tumbled travertine
bathroom tiles, new fixtures, granite counters in the kitchen and
stainless-steel appliances. Mr. Lehman, who works as a real estate agent a
half-hour away in Middlesex County, said he looked at comparable houses on the
market, saw what was selling, “and tried to price it below everyone else.”
Chuck and
Maria Nucci have also put their Jersey Shore waterfront home on the market.
Their house, in Osborne Island, 35 minutes north of Atlantic City by car and 20
minutes away by boat, is on a deep-water natural lagoon and has a floating dock
and a boatlift that can handle a 25-foot boat. Mr. Nucci said that a seven-minute
boat ride would take you from his dock to the Atlantic. “It’s a good place to
live year-round,” Mr. Nucci said, “as well as a great vacation house.” The
Nuccis still live full time in the house, which has three bedrooms and two
baths. They hope to move farther north in Ocean County.
Mr. Nucci
is philosophical about the market and optimistic about their prospects. “It’s
all relative,” he said. “If we sell at a low price, then we’ll be buying at a
low price.” They are waiting until their current home is sold before buying a
new house, and they think a sale is possible. “There aren’t too many on the
market here,” he said. They are asking $439,000 for the house, which they are
advertising themselves on Craigslist. It is on a
65-by-100-foot lot and was renovated in 2002, the year they bought the house.
Others are
not so blasé. Mike Buckley, a real estate agent in Toms River, N.J., who works
mainly in Seaside Park and Seaside Heights, sees the real estate market as
“dead.” His last sale on the shore was in January in Seaside Heights, and he
said that the sale was possible only because the seller was willing to go down
$100,000 from the original asking price of $525,000. The property, two houses
on one lot a block from the beach, had been on the market “only six months,” he
said, while many other houses there have been on the market much longer. He
said, though, that he has had more people looking as the weather has gotten
warmer.
Mr.
Buckley, who owns four vacation rental properties on the shore, is much more
optimistic about short-term rentals. “We’re about on par with last year,” he
said, “and last year was a pretty good year.” He speculates that some of the
renters may be people who are choosing the Jersey Shore over more expensive
summer vacations elsewhere.