While record-low mortgage rates aren't doing much to spur regular home
sales, the higher end of the housing market is getting a significant boost from
the decline in so-called jumbo rates—mortgages of $417,000 and above.
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An economy suffering from
high unemployment and falling home prices has left many potential
buyers unable take advantage of the lower conventional rates.
But it's different for those
seeking bigger jumbo loans for the more-expensive homes.
"Sales volume for homes
worth more than $1 million across the country are up more than 35 percent from
last year at this time," says Walter Maloney, spokesman for the National
Association of Realtors
(NAR). "Homes between $700,000 and a million are also on the rise by some
29 percent over last year. There's no question that's because of the historic
low jumbo rates."
Just how low are the current
jumbo rates? Last year at this time, a 30-year fixed jumbo rate was averaging
more than 6 percent. It's now at an all time low average of 5.07 percent. And
the re-finance rate for a 30 year jumbo is currently at 5.30 percent. A fifteen
year jumbo is at the historic low average of 4.68 percent.
The reason for the rate
decline is simple, say the experts: banks, which have a part in setting jumbo
rates, have money to lend and see the benefits in doing so at lower rates.
Greg McBrideSenior Financial Analyst, Bankrate
"Lenders
are getting more comfortable making high end loans these days," says Greg
McBride, senior financial analyst at Bankrate.com. "They're using their cash reserves to make the loans and see a
profit in having rates lower right now."
Unlike
conventional mortgages, jumbo loans by definition exceed the conforming loan
limit of $417,000 set by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Jumbo rates are loosely
tied to long term treasurys but they are traditionally higher because of the
risk involved for the banks in making a larger loan.
But
the risk seems worth it, even in today's sluggish economy as
foreclosures rise and unemployment remains high.
"People
at the higher incomes are not so much worried about their jobs as others might
be. And they have the money to come up with 30 percent down." says
McBride. "There is some pent up demand for the more expensive homes. The
lower rates are helping release that demand."
While
banks seems ready to make the bigger loans, they are putting borrowers through
the same tough underwriting rules that conventional loan borrowers face.
"Banks
are asking for every piece of financial information they can," says
Mitchell Hochberg, a consultant and principal at Madden Real Estate Ventures.
"They are being very strict on all the paperwork when it comes to home
buying or re-financing."
Strict
or not, the banks are lending and refinancing jumbo loans at much higher
volumes than last year.
"Sales
are fairly good right now," says Alan Rosenbaum, president and ceo of
Guardhill Financial, a mortgage banker and brokerage company based in New York.
"But what's even better this year is the refinancing. We've had
significant volume there. I'd say that even getting a half a point now on a
jumbo refinance is good with these rates."
Like
their conventional brethren, the question over how far jumbo rates will
continue to fall remains mostly unanswered. No one can say for sure whether the
economy can sustain them if inflation fears force the banks and the Federal
Reserve to make lending harder.
However,
the question about their rising has a more definitive answer.
"There's
no way to tell where rates will really go on conventional or jumbo loans,"
says Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the NAR. "I do expect them both to
remain low. But it's clear to say that if they do go up, it will hurt housing.
They aren't the only factor in the housing market. There's the jobs picture and
home prices. But having the conventional or jumbo rates go up will definitely
not help."